Bitcoin will use 0.5% of world’s electricity by end of 2018, finds study

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The bitcoin network currently uses as much electricity as Ireland and is set to consume 0.5 per cent of all the world’s electric energy by the end of this year, according to new calculations.

Economist Alex de Vries, whose Digiconomist blog hosts the Bitcoin Energy Consumption Index, quantified bitcoin’s energy requirements in a paper published in the scientific journal Joule on 16 May.

The electricity demands comes from the computing power required to mine bitcoin – the process of generating new units of the cryptocurrency by solving complex mathematical puzzles. These puzzles are designed to get more complicated as bitcoin’s network grows, thus requiring even greater computing power.

It is the first time estimates of bitcoin’s energy demands have been peer-reviewed and adds considerable weight to the debate of how to address the environmental impact of the world’s most valuable cryptocurrency.

“We’ve seen a lot of back-of-the-envelope calculations, but we need more scientific discussion on where this network is headed,” Mr de Vries said.

“Half a per cent is already quite shocking. It’s an extreme difference compared to the regular financial system, and this increasing electricity demand is definitely not going to help us reach our climate goals.”

Previous calculations by Mr de Vries have been used to predict how long it would take for bitcoin’s energy consumption to be unsustainable.

At one point during bitcoin’s rapid rise in late 2017, if the network’s growth had continued it would have required all of the world’s current energy production in order to support itself by 2020.

Various factors mean that this would never actually occur, however Mr de Vries warns that the network could someday consume 5 per cent of the world’s electricity.

To limit the impact of such energy consumption, some states in the US have put restrictions in place around bitcoin mining. Mr de Vries hopes his paper will be used to better inform policy in this area.

“I think everyone agrees on the minimum energy consumption. But the future estimate? That’s quite debatable,” he said.

“I am hoping to get this conversation started. I’m doing this research, but a lot of people should be doing it.