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UK financial services optimism worst since 2007 credit crunch

Banks and building societies are increasing pessimistic about business conditions with uncertainty over Brexit

Andrew Macaskil
Monday 25 September 2017 08:49 BST
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Confidence in the financial services sector has declined in six of the last seven quarters
Confidence in the financial services sector has declined in six of the last seven quarters (PA)

Optimism about the business environment among Britain’s financial services firms declined again in the third quarter of this year, the longest run of falling sentiment since the global financial crisis, according to a survey published on Monday.

The latest quarterly survey of 94 financial services firms by business lobby CBI and consultancy PwC found sentiment about Britain’s overall business climate deteriorating, with banks and building societies especially pessimistic.

Confidence in the financial services sector – Britain’s biggest source of corporate tax revenue and largest export sector – has now declined in six of the last seven quarters.

“While demand in the sector is expected to hold up in the near term, we can’t ignore the fact that optimism has dropped in almost every quarter for the past two years,” said Rain Newton-Smith, CBI chief economist.

The uncertainty about Britain’s future trading relationship with the European Union continued to weigh on the industry.

Britain will have to negotiate new trading terms with the EU and it is unlikely banks will retain access to sell their services and serve clients across the economic bloc.

Prime Minister Theresa May called on Friday for Britain to stay in the European Union’s single market during a roughly two-year transition out of the EU, while offering concessions on a divorce deal as she appealed for a revival of Brexit negotiations.

But the job market was broadly stable in the last quarter and firms are expected to step up the pace of hiring over the coming quarter, the survey showed.

Reuters

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